Showing posts with label gender gap. Show all posts
Showing posts with label gender gap. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

West Virginia exit polls

Exit polls of West Virginia voters have started to trickle in. Via my notes from CNN:

  • 64% of WV voters cited the economy as their top issue.

  • 45% said that the economic recession has affected them a "great deal."

  • Of those who voted for Hillary, 72% said they thought the gas tax holiday was a "good idea."

  • 43% of Obama voters also thought the gas tax holiday was a good idea; 54% disagreed and thought it was a bad idea.

  • The gender gap is back: Hillary Clinton voters break out 55% female, 45% male.

  • Obama voters are 57% male, 43% female.

I'll update as the numbers release.

UPDATE I: How will WV Democrats vote in the November?

If Obama is the nominee, Clinton voters say how they will vote:

  • 36% for Obama
  • 35% for McCain
  • 24% will not vote
  • 5% for other

In the reverse, if Clinton is the nominee, Obama voters said how they would vote:

  • 51% for Clinton
  • 31% for McCain
  • 14% will not vote
  • 4% for other

UPDATE II: Experience vs. change.

Of WV Democrats who said experience was most important, they overwhelmingly went for Clinton:

  • 93% for Hillary Clinton
  • 3% for Barack Obama

Who can bring about change? Once Obama's signature issue, Clinton has narrowed the gap. Of WV Democrats:

  • Obama got 53%
  • Clinton got 45%

UPDATE III: Shared values.

Of Obama voters, does Hillary Clinton share your values?

  • 62% No
  • 37% Yes

Of Clinton voters, does Barack Obama share your values?

  • 70% No (rev.)
  • 30% Yes

UPDATE IV: Controversies--Rev. Wright and unfair attacks

Does Obama share the views of Rev. Wright?

  • 51% Yes
  • 47% No

Did Clinton attack her opponent Obama unfairly?

  • 59% Yes
  • 38% No

Did Obama attack Clinton unfairly? The responses split evenly.

UPDATE V: Those who said the economy was their top priority and who voted for Clinton:

  • 76% said it had affected them a great deal
  • 58% said it had affect them somewhat
  • 50% said it had affected them not much/not at all

Female voters broke for Clinton in a big way: 71% for Clinton vs. 27% for Obama.

Obama won 28% of the white vote.

WV voters also said that Bill Clinton was a "boost."

CNN called WV for Clinton the minute the polls closed due to a "wide margin."

Fox News called the primary for Clinton due to exit polls that showed 68% voted for Clinton, 32% went for Obama.

Exit poll data available from CNN's main WV page here.

UPDATE VI: WV blue-collar whites without a college degree:

  • 72% Clinton
  • 23% Obama
  • 5% Other

White voters with college degrees:

  • 55% Clinton
  • 41% Obama
  • 4% Other


POSTSCRIPT: Edited for clarity.